Match Info

Druga NL - Round 20

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Bjelovar		Segesta

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.35	3.95
	1.85	3.81	3.31
	1.8	4.11	3.41	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.87	3.88	3.47
	2.2	3.4	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (3.66)	3.68 ↑ (3.61)	3.36 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bjelovar
48.2%

Draw
24.8%

Segesta
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

25%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

24%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjelovar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bjelovar's performance.

Segesta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Segesta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjelovar than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bjelovar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Segesta than the current prediction. (+25.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Segesta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bjelovar - Segesta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Prva NL (Promotion: )).

Recent performances by Bjelovar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Segesta is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Segesta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Segesta has had a series of home games.

Segesta might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bjelovar won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Bjelovar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bjelovar	7	4	2	1	16:9	7	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Bjelovar
Croatian Druga NL
14.03.26	Radnik Križevci - Bjelovar	3:1 ✺
10.03.26	Bjelovar - Varteks Varazdin	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Bjelovar - Đakovo Croatia	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Bjelovar	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.02.26	Trnje Zagreb - Bjelovar	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLL
- HNK Segesta
Croatian Druga NL
14.03.26	Segesta - Lučko	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Segesta - Radnik Križevci	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Đakovo Croatia - Segesta	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Segesta - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.26	Segesta - Dubrava	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
20.09.25	Segesta - Bjelovar	2:1
24.08.24	Bjelovar - Segesta	2:0
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Segesta - Bjelovar	0:1

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