Match Info

Mocambola - Round 15

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday


	Black Bulls		Baía de Pemba

	1	X	2
	1.99	2.86	4.24	Watch
	1.83	2.95	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)	4.47 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Black Bulls
48%

Draw
31.5%

Baía de Pemba
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

30.9%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Black Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Baía de Pemba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Black Bulls - Baía de Pemba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Cipriano S. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Cremildo ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Hammed ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 2, Parkim L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 3 - 2, Bauque C. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 6).

Baía de Pemba's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Black Bulls may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Black Bulls is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Black Bulls won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Black Bulls won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Black Bulls
CAF Champions League
27.09.25	Black Bulls - AC Léopard	1:0 penalties ✺
Mozambique Moçambola
27.08.25	Black Bulls - Desportivo de Nacala	6:1 ✺
17.08.25	Ferroviario Lichinga - Black Bulls	2:2 ✺
09.08.25	Black Bulls - Ferroviário de Maputo	0:0 ✺
30.07.25	Black Bulls - Ferroviário de Nacala	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTTW
- Baía de Pemba FC
Mozambique Moçambola
23.09.25	Baía de Pemba - Ferroviário de Nacala	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Ferroviário da Beira - Baía de Pemba	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	Baía de Pemba - Textáfrica	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Baía de Pemba - Ferroviario Lichinga	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Ferroviário de Maputo - Baía de Pemba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mozambique Moçambola
25.05.25	Baía de Pemba - Black Bulls	2:1
30.10.24	Baía de Pemba - Black Bulls	0:1
27.04.24	Black Bulls - Baía de Pemba	3:0
21.05.23	Black Bulls - Baía de Pemba	1:0

Black Bulls - Baía de Pemba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide