Match Info

ENGLAND: Women’s Championship - Round 18

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn)


	Blackburn Rovers		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.41
	6	4.6	1.4
	6.3	4.58	1.41	Watch
	6.96	4.33	1.38
	6	4.6	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.25 ↑ (4.47)	4.46 ↑ (3.75)	1.4 (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
14.6%

Draw
20.4%

Bristol City
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

22.1%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6%

21%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks A. (G) 12. Dugdale R. 6. Hack E. 31. Johnson L. 3. Luke H. 55. Newell L. 8. Noble E. 22. Primmer T. 4. Toland T. (C) 23. Walters G. 10. Williams C.	25. Burns J. (G) 41. Bennett H. 10. Lloyd-Smith L. 18. Meena M. 3. Mustaki C. 11. Napier J. (C) 8. Rodgers A. 4. Struck C. 16. Syme E. 28. Teisar T. 14. Ward M.
Substitutes
20. Clarkson E. 43. Coulthard F. 7. Crompton F. 42. Dahou J. 29. Davies B. 9. Edwards M. 17. Settle M. 13. Soper P. (G) 5. Taylor E.	24. Morgan F. 6. O'Leary L. 2. Powell E. 19. Simpson J. 13. Stowell E. 17. Thestrup A. 27. Woolley J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Toland T. ⚽, Noble E. (A),
59', Napier J. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
60', Teisar T. ↓, Thestrup A. ↑,
60', Meena M. ↓, Morgan F. ↑,
61', Noble E. ↓, Dahou J. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Morgan F. ⚽, Struck C. (A),
79', Walters G. ↓, Crompton F. ↑,
85', Mustaki C. ↓, O'Leary L. ↑,
88', Rodgers A. ↓, Woolley J. ↑,
90', Primmer T. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
90', Williams C. ↓, Settle M. ↑,
90+10', Bennett H. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 5).

Blackburn has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bristol City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Blackburn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bristol City is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1:8 (average 0.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Blackburn won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers Women
English WSL 2
16.03.25	London City Lionesses - Blackburn Rovers	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Charlton Athletic - Blackburn Rovers	3:1 ✺
02.03.25	Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City LFC	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Durham - Blackburn Rovers	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Blackburn Rovers - Sunderland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLT
- Bristol City WFC
English WSL 2
16.03.25	Bristol City - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Newcastle United - Bristol City	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Bristol City - Southampton	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup Women
29.01.25	Arsenal LFC - Bristol City	5:0 ✺
English WSL 2
26.01.25	Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
13.10.24	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	2:1
05.02.23	Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City	0:0
28.08.22	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	2:0
16.01.22	Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City	0:1
14.11.21	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	3:0

Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide