Match Info

WSL 2 - Round 6

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)


	Newcastle United		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.7	3.6
	1.83	3.96	3.49
	1.67	4.01	4.30	Watch
	1.82	3.95	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.64)	3.91 ↑ (3.85)	3.78 ↓ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
52%

Draw
23.6%

Bristol City
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

25.8%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-5%)

Newcastle United - Bristol City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Liefting F. (G) 99. Cataldo L. 12. Cooper D. 7. Gautrat M. 22. Joel L. 25. Mannion A. 35. Murphy E. 4. Nobbs J. 10. Pike M. 20. Sevenius O. 3. Stokes D. (C)	1. Bentley F. (G) 41. Bennett H. 21. Dafeur M. 19. Farrugia M. 9. Hardy R. 5. Ingle S. 3. Lawley G. 8. Losada V. (C) 24. Saez C. 16. Syme E. 14. Ward M.
Substitutes
6. Boddy E. 15. Grec M. 11. Gregory F. 9. Hayles S. 26. Lumsden B. 21. McQuade J. 13. Moan C. (G) 2. Wardlaw C.	45. Hebard I. 63. Hibbert-Johnson O. 23. Jones V. 18. Meena M. 20. Morgan E. 6. O'Leary L. 4. Struck C. 99. Williams N. (G) 17. Ziu J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Lawley G. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Sevenius O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 1 - 1, Hardy R. ⚽, Ward M. (A),
68', Dafeur M. ↓, Meena M. ↑,
68', Syme E. ↓, Ziu J. ↑,
68', Losada V. ↓, Jones V. ↑,
71', Cataldo L. 🟨,
74', Sevenius O. ↓, Lumsden B. ↑,
74', Pike M. ↓, Gregory F. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Hardy R. ⚽, Jones V. (A),
78', Gautrat M. ↓, McQuade J. ↑,
78', Nobbs J. ↓, Boddy E. ↑,
87', Hardy R. ↓, Struck C. ↑,
88', Farrugia M. ↓, Hibbert-Johnson O. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Joel L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4).

Newcastle is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Bristol City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United Women
English WSL 2
05.10.25	Crystal Palace - Newcastle United	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Newcastle United - Charlton Athletic	0:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
24.09.25	Nottingham Forest - Newcastle United	2:1 ✺
English WSL 2
21.09.25	Birmingham City LFC - Newcastle United	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	Newcastle United - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLT
- Bristol City WFC
English WSL 2
05.10.25	Bristol City - Durham	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
English League Cup Women
24.09.25	Birmingham City LFC - Bristol City	3:2 penalties ✺
English WSL 2
21.09.25	Southampton - Bristol City	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Bristol City - Portsmouth	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
02.03.25	Newcastle United - Bristol City	3:2
10.11.24	Bristol City - Newcastle United	2:0

Newcastle United - Bristol City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide