Match Info

Women’s Championship - Round 22

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Ewood Park (Blackburn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2


	Blackburn Rovers		Newcastle United

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.4	1.38
	5.6	4.3	1.44
	5.81	4.38	1.46
	5.84	4.4	1.45	Watch
	6.16	4.4	1.41
	5.6	4.3	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.88 ↑ (4.92)	4.36 ↑ (3.92)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackburn Rovers
15.5%

Draw
20.9%

Newcastle United
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

23.3%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

22.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Blackburn Rovers - Newcastle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Soper P. (G) 12. Dugdale R. 6. Hack E. 3. Luke H. 55. Newell L. 8. Noble E. 22. Primmer T. 17. Settle M. 5. Taylor E. 4. Toland T. (C) 10. Williams C.	13. Moan C. (G) 12. Cooper D. 19. Furness R. (C) 15. Greenwood H. 11. Gregory F. 7. Hayles S. 22. Joel L. 26. Lumsden B. 35. Murphy E. 3. Stokes D. 24. Wardlaw C.
Substitutes
1. Brooks A. (G) 20. Clarkson E. 43. Coulthard F. 7. Crompton F. 42. Dahou J. 29. Davies B. 9. Edwards M.	17. Andrews A. 9. Barker K. 1. Donnelly G. (G) 27. Hawkins H. (G) 8. Kelly E. 21. McQuade J. 14. Pritchard P. 5. Watt O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Hayles S. ⚽, Stokes D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
53', 0 - 2, Gregory F. ⚽,
59', Lumsden B. ↓, McQuade J. ↑,
59', Greenwood H. ↓, Watt O. ↑,
59', Noble E. ↓, Dahou J. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Cooper D. ⚽, Gregory F. (A),
66', Settle M. ↓, Crompton F. ↑,
70', 0 - 4, Hayles S. ⚽, Gregory F. (A),
73', 0 - 5, Hayles S. ⚽, Joel L. (A),
79', Murphy E. ↓, Barker K. ↑,
82', Williams C. ↓, Edwards M. ↑,
88', Moan C. ↓, Donnelly G. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 5, Toland T. (Pen),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 5).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Newcastle has had a series of home games.

In this match, Newcastle is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Blackburn won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackburn Rovers Women
English WSL 2
27.04.25	Portsmouth - Blackburn Rovers	4:0 ✺
20.04.25	Sheffield United - Blackburn Rovers	0:0 ✺
13.04.25	Newcastle United - Blackburn Rovers	6:0 ✺
29.03.25	Blackburn Rovers - Southampton	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Blackburn Rovers - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTLWT
- Newcastle United Women
English WSL 2
27.04.25	Newcastle United - Birmingham City LFC	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Charlton Athletic - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Newcastle United - Blackburn Rovers	6:0 ✺
30.03.25	Newcastle United - London City Lionesses	1:2 ✺
23.03.25	Newcastle United - Sunderland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL 2
13.04.25	Newcastle United - Blackburn Rovers	6:0

Blackburn Rovers - Newcastle United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide