Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 28

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday


	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf		Frechen

	1	X	2
	3.45	4.25	1.81
	3.4	3.6	1.78
	3.45	4	1.83
	3.5	3.75	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.23)	3.9 ↓ (4.02)	1.81 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blau-Weiß Friesdorf
26.4%

Draw
23.4%

Frechen
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

23.1%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

23.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blau-Weiß Friesdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Frechen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blau-Weiß Friesdorf than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frechen than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Blau Weiß Friesdorf - Frechen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Friesdorf will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Friesdorf won 2.

Friesdorf has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Frechen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Frechen is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Friesdorf won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Friesdorf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blau-Weiß Friesdorf
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
21.05.23	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:0 ✺
17.05.23	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Hennef 05	2:6 ✺
12.05.23	Bonner - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Hürth	1:2 ✺
30.04.23	Eintracht Hohkeppel - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLT
- SpVg Frechen 20
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
21.05.23	Frechen - Glesch-Paffendorf	3:1 ✺
18.05.23	Fortuna Köln II - Frechen	2:1 ✺
14.05.23	Frechen - Bergisch Gladbach	1:3 ✺
07.05.23	Vichttal - Frechen	3:2 ✺
30.04.23	Pesch - Frechen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
13.11.22	Frechen - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	5:0
24.02.22	Frechen - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	0:1
02.09.21	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Frechen	1:2
01.12.19	Frechen - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:0
14.04.19	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Frechen	3:1
07.10.18	Frechen - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	3:0

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