Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN - ROUND 30

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf		Bergisch Gladbach

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.85	1.65
	3.64	3.82	1.69
	4.6	3.5	1.6
	4.65	3.82	1.64
	4.33	3.75	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (2.45)	3.75 ↓ (4.1)	1.65 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blau-Weiß Friesdorf
21.6%

Draw
24%

Bergisch Gladbach
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

21.9%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

21.8%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blau-Weiß Friesdorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blau-Weiß Friesdorf's form might have worsened.

Bergisch Gladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bergisch Gladbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blau-Weiß Friesdorf than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blau-Weiß Friesdorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergisch Gladbach than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bergisch Gladbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Blau Weiß Friesdorf - Bergisch Gladbach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Friesdorf won 0.

Friesdorf is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bergisch Gladbach is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bergisch Gladbach is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Friesdorf won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Friesdorf won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blau-Weiß Friesdorf
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
04.06.23	Vichttal - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	11:3 ✺
29.05.23	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Frechen	3:2 ✺
21.05.23	Viktoria 08 Arnoldsweiler - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:0 ✺
17.05.23	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Hennef 05	2:6 ✺
12.05.23	Bonner - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL
- Bergisch Gladbach
German Oberliga Mittelrhein
04.06.23	Bergisch Gladbach - Glesch-Paffendorf	3:1 ✺
29.05.23	Fortuna Köln II - Bergisch Gladbach	2:3 ✺
21.05.23	Pesch - Bergisch Gladbach	4:1 ✺
17.05.23	Bergisch Gladbach - Vichttal	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Frechen - Bergisch Gladbach	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Mittelrhein
03.12.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	3:0
20.03.22	Bergisch Gladbach - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	1:1
05.09.21	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Bergisch Gladbach	2:2
05.05.19	Blau-Weiß Friesdorf - Bergisch Gladbach	3:3
21.10.18	Bergisch Gladbach - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:0
04.11.17	Bergisch Gladbach - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:2
11.12.16	Bergisch Gladbach - Blau-Weiß Friesdorf	2:1

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