Match Info

J2 League - Round 23

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Soyu Stadium (Akita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Blaublitz Akita		Roasso Kumamoto

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.3	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	3	3.05	2.32	Watch
	3.28	3.27	2.42
				Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	3.1	3.2	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.57)	3.1 ↓ (3.14)	2.38 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blaublitz Akita
31.1%

Draw
30%

Roasso Kumamoto
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blaublitz Akita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	30.8%	53.8%

Blaublitz Akita - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Blaublitz Akita will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Kumamoto will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kumamoto: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Blaublitz Akita (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kumamoto (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yamada G. (G) 16. Muramatsu K. 2. Okazaki R. 30. Iizumi R. 13. Saito R. 20. Yoshioka M. 25. Fujiyama T. 5. Nagai K. 29. Sato D. 34. Suzuki S. 11. Kajiya Y.	1. Sato S. (G) 5. Abe K. 4. Hakamata Y. 3. Onishi R. 21. Toyoda A. 8. Kamimura S. 6. Iwashita W. 17. Fujii K. 14. Shiohama R. 28. Kumashiro K. 10. Konagaya C.
Substitutes
32. Hasegawa T. 8. Hata J. 31. Ishida R. 18. Kawamoto R. 9. Nakamura R. 80. Onohara K. 19. Ozaki Y. 17. Radotic L. (G) 40. Sagawa K.	18. Handai M. 25. Kobayashi K. 2. Kuroki K. 15. Mishima S. 20. Osaki S. 24. Ri T. 23. Sato Y. (G) 7. Takemoto Y.
Coaches
Yoshida K.	Oki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Saito R. ⚽, Sato D. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Konagaya C. ⚽, Kumashiro K. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Sato D. ⚽, Muramatsu K. (A),
45+4', 3 - 1, Suzuki S. ⚽, Kajiya Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Abe K. ↓, Ri T. ↑,
51', 3 - 2, Konagaya C. ⚽,
72', Yoshioka M. ↓, Hasegawa T. ↑,
77', Suzuki S. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
77', Kumashiro K. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
86', Fujii K. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
86', Konagaya C. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
88', Kajiya Y. ↓, Ishida R. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blaublitz Akita won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Blaublitz Akita won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Blaublitz Akita won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Roasso Kumamoto - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.41%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2 League
05.07.25	Blaublitz Akita - Mito HollyHock	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Blaublitz Akita - Montedio Yamagata	2:3 ✺
15.06.25	Oita Trinita - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Iwaki - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTLWW
- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League
06.07.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Júbilo Iwata	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Consadole Sapporo - Roasso Kumamoto	3:2 ✺
22.06.25	Roasso Kumamoto - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:3 ✺
15.06.25	Ventforet Kofu - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	JEF United Chiba - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.05.25	Roasso Kumamoto - Blaublitz Akita	1:2
21.09.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Blaublitz Akita	3:1
08.06.24	Blaublitz Akita - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
09.07.23	Blaublitz Akita - Roasso Kumamoto	1:1
25.02.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Blaublitz Akita	0:1
02.10.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Blaublitz Akita	1:2
05.06.22	Blaublitz Akita - Roasso Kumamoto	2:2

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