The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kagoshima United 53.2%
Draw 27.1%
Roasso Kumamoto 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.9%
26.6%
19.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.6%
27.4%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Kagoshima United - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kawakami K. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 4. Hirose K. 35. Egawa G. 3. Sugii H. 14. Yoshio K. 32. Umeki K. 8. Fujimura K. 20. Endo M. 9. Arita R. 18. Kawamura K.
1. Sato S. (G) 4. Yakushida R. 24. Ri T. 26. Toda S. 41. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 15. Mishima S. 6. Iwashita W. 39. Aoki S. 10. Katori Y. 14. Ishihara O.
Substitutes
11. Fukuda M. 23. Kojima R. 73. Kumakura T. (G) 41. Mishina N. 16. Muramatsu K. 55. Nakayama K. 10. Take S. 36. Yonezawa R.
11. Bae Jeong-Min 7. Fujii K. 18. Handai M. 13. Iihoshi A. 2. Kuroki K. 22. Matsuda E. 17. Nagai S. 25. Nasu K. 23. Sato Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Aoki S. ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Omoto Y. ⚽, Fujii K. (A),
59', Ishihara O. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Kawamura K. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Hirose K. ⚽,
77', Mishima S. ↓, Nasu K. ↑,
77', Ishihara O. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
77', Katori Y. ↓, Iihoshi A. ↑,
82', Omoto Y. ↓, Matsuda E. ↑,
86', Aoki Y. ↓, Muramatsu K. ↑,
90+3', Yoshio K. ↓, Kojima R. ↑,
90+3', Kawamura K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
90+3', Hirose K. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+5', Arita R. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
Preview
This time weโll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 2.
Kagoshima United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kumamoto is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
In this match, Kagoshima United is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Kagoshima United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).