The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roasso Kumamoto 30.2%
Draw 26.4%
V-Varen Nagasaki 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.4%
27%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
26.1%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
16.7%
66.7%
Roasso Kumamoto - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Kumamoto will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Kumamoto (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kumamoto (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sato S. (G) 3. Onishi R. 4. Hakamata Y. 6. Iwashita W. 21. Toyoda A. 8. Kamimura S. 15. Mishima S. 17. Fujii K. 14. Shiohama R. 18. Handai M. 16. Matsuoka R.
21. Ioka K. (G) 29. Arai I. 25. Kushibiki K. 44. Egawa Y. 8. Masuyama A. 5. Yamaguchi H. 6. Abe T. 23. Yoneda S. 10. Matheus Jesus 19. Sawada T. 9. Juanma Delgado
Substitutes
5. Abe K. 10. Konagaya C. 28. Kumashiro K. 2. Kuroki K. 27. Negishi K. 20. Osaki S. 24. Ri T. 23. Sato Y. (G) 7. Takemoto Y.
31. Harada G. (G) 11. Junio E. 33. Kasayanagi T. 7. Marcos Guilherme 34. Matsumoto T. 38. Matsuzawa K. 3. Sekiguchi M. 48. Teruyama H. 18. Yamasaki R.
Coaches
Oki T.
Takagi T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Sawada T. ⚽, Yoneda S. (A),
30', 0 - 2, Juanma Delgado ⚽, Matheus Jesus (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Handai M. ↓, Kumashiro K. ↑,
61', Iwashita W. 🟨,
63', Sawada T. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
63', Masuyama A. ↓, Sekiguchi M. ↑,
63', Toyoda A. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
63', Matsuoka R. ↓, Konagaya C. ↑,
73', Juanma Delgado ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
77', Fujii K. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
80', Kushibiki K. ↓, Teruyama H. ↑,
80', Yoneda S. ↓, Kasayanagi T. ↑,
81', Mishima S. ↓, Kuroki K. ↑,
82', Sekiguchi M. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 2, Konagaya C. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, Marcos Guilherme ⚽, Matheus Jesus (A),
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 0.
Kumamoto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
V-Varen Nagasaki has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Kumamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kumamoto has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Kumamoto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.1:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
V-Varen Nagasaki - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.59%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Sato S. (G) 
Matheus Jesus 
Juanma Delgado 
Ri T. 
