The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blooming 59.3%
Draw 20.7%
Independiente Petroleros 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.2%
23.2%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
22.4%
25.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blooming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blooming's performance.
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Petroleros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blooming than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blooming that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Petroleros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Blooming - Independiente Petroleros Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Almada G. (G) 44. Enoumba M. 16. Bejarano Da. 22. Vila J. 24. Justiniano E. 19. Abisab M. 6. Spenhay R. (C) 7. Villarroel M. 10. Hinojosa R. 79. Cuasace G. 29. Garces J.
12. Vera J. (G) 2. Torres S. 50. Roni Santos 3. Crescencio L. 34. Mendoza G. 14. Urdininea C. 16. Chavez Suarez S. 19. Cristaldo G. (C) 99. Jeferson Carioca 20. Mercado A. 9. Gean
Substitutes
28. Alvarez E. 2. Cabral M. 55. Carrasco J. 20. Loza P. 25. Melgar R. 11. Menacho C. 82. Miranda J. 75. Ocampo M. 33. Oliveros A. 1. Uraezana B. (G) 3. Valverde J. 8. Villarroel M.
91. Alvarez G. 7. Cardozo R. 39. Grass P. 8. Guttierrez J. 30. Montano Hilton J. 68. Morales D. 40. Morales L. (G) 5. Palma L. 26. Sanchez K. 88. Soria J.
Coaches
Paulucci C.
Grass J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Hinojosa R. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Chavez Suarez S. 🟨,
45+2', Bejarano Da. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Villarroel M. ↓, Menacho C. ↑,
46', Chavez Suarez S. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
56', Hinojosa R. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
65', Enoumba M. ↓, Valverde J. ↑,
69', Mercado A. ↓, Cardozo R. ↑,
69', Gean ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
73', Bejarano Da. ↓, Loza P. ↑,
73', Cuasace G. ↓, Melgar R. ↑,
73', Villarroel M. 🟨,
76', Spenhay R. 🟨,
81', Urdininea C. 🟨,
83', Jeferson Carioca ↓, Grass P. ↑,
90+3', Cristaldo G. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 1, Alvarez G. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blooming won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Blooming could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Blooming is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Blooming has recorded 12 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:31 (averaging 2:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Blooming against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 21:4 goals (averaging 2.3:0.4 per game).