The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Petroleros 19.2%
Draw 20.3%
Bolívar 60.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.4%
23.6%
46%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
22.9%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Petroleros's form might have worsened.
Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Petroleros, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Bolívar will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Bolívar (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bolívar (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Vera J. (G) 2. Torres S. 50. Roni Santos 3. Crescencio L. 34. Mendoza G. 14. Urdininea C. 16. Chavez Suarez S. 99. Jeferson Carioca 19. Cristaldo G. (C) 20. Mercado A. 9. Gean
1. Lampe C. (G) 2. Sagredo J. 5. Echeverria S. 3. Arreaga X. 4. Sagredo J. 7. Velasquez J. 23. Justiniano L. (C) 6. Vaca Moreno E. 24. Galindo M. 27. Asprilla D. 9. Cauteruccio M.
Substitutes
91. Alvarez G. 15. Bejarano J. 7. Cardozo R. 39. Grass P. 8. Guttierrez J. 30. Montano Hilton J. 68. Morales D. 40. Morales L. (G) 5. Palma L. 26. Sanchez K. 28. Soleto W. 93. Willie
22. Ayhuana A. 31. Butron H. 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. 32. Espinoza M. 35. Freita E. 19. Garcia J. 33. Mena F. 13. Mendez D. (G) 11. Miranda B. 8. Paz L. 26. Saavedra E. 20. Sejas C.
Coaches
Grass J.
Restrepo A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Velasquez J. ⚽, Asprilla D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Chavez Suarez S. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
46', Cristaldo G. ↓, Willie ↑,
47', Mercado A. 🟨,
52', Arreaga X. 🟨,
64', Mercado A. ↓, Cardozo R. ↑,
64', Gean ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
69', Crescencio L. 🟨,
71', Alvarez G. 🟨,
73', 0 - 2, Cauteruccio M. (Penalty Awarded),
73', 🟨,
76', Vaca Moreno E. 🟨,
78', Galindo M. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
78', Vaca Moreno E. ↓, Ayhuana A. ↑,
78', Cauteruccio M. ↓, Miranda B. ↑,
84', Jeferson Carioca ↓, Guttierrez J. ↑,
89', Velasquez J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Miranda B. ⚽,
Preview
Ind Petroleros is Qualified for Copa Pacena (Play Offs Quarter~finals).
Bolívar is Qualified for Copa Pacena (Play Offs Quarter~finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 1.
Ind Petroleros has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bolívar is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bolívar holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Ind Petroleros has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:36 (averaging 0.9:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ind Petroleros against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 7:16 goals (averaging 0.9:2 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Bolívar - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 45.98%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Bolivia
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Vera J. (G) 
Roni Santos 
Cristaldo G. (C) 
Echeverria S. 
Arreaga X. 
Asprilla D. 
Cauteruccio M. 
Guttierrez J. 
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