Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 11

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday


	Blumenau		Caravaggio

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.40	5.25
	1.67	3.25	4.30
	1.58	3.65	4.83
	1.67	3.41	4.96	Watch
	1.62	3.40	4.80
	1.55	3.78	5.22
	1.75	2.88	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.79)	3.4 ↑ (2.95)	4.78 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blumenau
54.9%

Draw
26.4%

Caravaggio
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29.8%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

27.8%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blumenau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blumenau's performance.

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blumenau than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Blumenau - Caravaggio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
67', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 and 4)

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Caravaggio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Blumenau is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Blumenau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Caravaggio	18	10	5	3	47:20	27	35
4	Blumenau	18	9	4	5	35:15	20	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blumenau EC
Brazilian Serie D
20.06.26	São Luiz - Blumenau	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
17.06.26	Atlético Tubarão - Blumenau	2:3 ✺
10.06.26	Blumenau - Jaraguá do Sul	6:0
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.26	Blumenau - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
03.06.26	Nação - Blumenau	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWLW
- Caravaggio FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
14.06.26	Caravaggio - Fluminense-SC	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Caravaggio - Hercílio Luz	2:2 ✺
27.05.26	Caravaggio - Nação	4:1 ✺
24.05.26	Atlético Tubarão - Caravaggio	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Jaraguá do Sul - Caravaggio	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
29.04.26	Caravaggio - Blumenau	1:3
16.06.24	Caravaggio - Blumenau	3:1

Blumenau - Caravaggio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide