Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 8

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio da Montanha (Nova Veneza)


	Caravaggio		Hercílio Luz

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.05	2.62
	2.91	3.12	2.17
	3	3.17	2.25	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.52)	3.11 ↓ (3.12)	2.41 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caravaggio
33.3%

Draw
29.1%

Hercílio Luz
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

29.3%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

29.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caravaggio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caravaggio than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Caravaggio - Hercílio Luz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Evaristo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 and 3).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Hercílio Luz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Caravaggio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Caravaggio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hercilio Luz	18	13	3	2	35:10	25	42
3	Caravaggio	18	10	5	3	47:20	27	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caravaggio FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
27.05.26	Caravaggio - Nação	4:1 ✺
24.05.26	Atlético Tubarão - Caravaggio	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Jaraguá do Sul - Caravaggio	0:8 ✺
10.05.26	Caravaggio - Metropolitano	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Guarani de Palhoça - Caravaggio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWWT
- Hercílio Luz FC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
27.05.26	Hercílio Luz - Atlético Tubarão	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Grêmio Juventus - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
13.05.26	Hercílio Luz - Blumenau	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Hercílio Luz - Guarani de Palhoça	6:0 ✺
03.05.26	Metropolitano - Hercílio Luz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
02.02.25	Caravaggio - Hercílio Luz	1:0

Caravaggio - Hercílio Luz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide