Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 33

Date: 19 March 2024, Tuesday


	Blyth Spartans		Buxton

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.2
	2.95	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3	3.4	2.35
	3	3.34	2.35
	2.8	3.3	2.25
	2.91	3.4	2.27
	2.85	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.4)	3.36 ↑ (3.28)	2.27 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blyth Spartans
31.9%

Draw
27.5%

Buxton
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.2%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

28.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blyth Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blyth Spartans's form might have worsened.

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buxton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blyth Spartans, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Blyth Spartans - Buxton Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Blyth will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Buxton will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', Siziba Z. ⚽,
45+2', Shiels L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Siziba Z. ⚽,
56', Deverdics N. ⚽,
90+6', Kirby C. ⚽,

Preview

Postponed due to waterlogged pitch.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blyth won 2.

Blyth is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Buxton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Buxton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Blyth won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Blyth won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
16.03.24	Southport - Blyth Spartans	2:3 ✺
12.03.24	Blyth Spartans - Darlington	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Blyth Spartans - King`s Lynn Town	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Tamworth - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Blyth Spartans - Boston United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLLT
- Buxton FC
English National League North
16.03.24	Buxton - South Shields	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	Peterborough Sports - Buxton	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Rushall Olympic - Buxton	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Boston United - Buxton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.08.23	Buxton - Blyth Spartans	3:0
28.01.23	Blyth Spartans - Buxton	0:3
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Blyth Spartans - Buxton	4:2
English National League North
27.08.22	Buxton - Blyth Spartans	1:2
English NPL Premier Division
11.03.17	Buxton - Blyth Spartans	2:2
03.12.16	Blyth Spartans - Buxton	0:0
24.10.15	Buxton - Blyth Spartans	0:4

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