Match Info

National League North - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN


	Buxton		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	3.5
	2.02	3.3	3.35
	2.06	3.4	3.58
	2.03	3.42	3.52	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.25
	1.98	3.2	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.92)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)	3.46 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
45.5%

Draw
27.8%

Scarborough Athletic
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.2%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

25.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Buxton - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Buxton will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Scarborough will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (4 - 2)
60', 1 - 0, Coleman C. ⚽,
66', 2 - 0, Brennan L. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Walker S. ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, Coleman C. ⚽,
87', 4 - 1, Mee A. ⚽,
90+1', 4 - 2, Green H. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 3.

Buxton has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Scarborough is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Scarborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Buxton is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Buxton won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:13. (average 1.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Buxton won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:3. (average 2.4:0.4).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Buxton: 4.76%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Buxton	10	5	1	4	18:18	0	16
14	Scarborough	10	3	3	4	15:12	3	12

Last Results with these Odds

Buxton - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.27%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Scarborough Athletic - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.5%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English National League North
25.04.26	Buxton - Leamington	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Curzon Ashton - Buxton	0:4 ✺
14.04.26	Alfreton Town - Buxton	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Worksop Town - Buxton	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTWW
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
25.04.26	Bedford Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Scarborough Athletic - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Scarborough Athletic - Spennymoor Town	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Darlington - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
11.04.26	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	2:0
02.09.25	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	2:1
12.04.25	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	0:3
05.11.24	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	2:0
02.03.24	Buxton - Scarborough Athletic	0:0
21.10.23	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	1:0
15.04.23	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	0:1

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