Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 40

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Southport		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3
	2	3.5	3.4
	2.17	3.46	3.25
	2.17	3.46	3.25
	1.97	3.72	3.41
	2.07	3.45	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.02)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	3.23 ↓ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southport
44.7%

Draw
26.6%

Blyth Spartans
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.5%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

26.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Blyth Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (-1%)

Southport - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Southport won 2.

Southport is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Blyth has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Blyth could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Southport will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Southport won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Southport won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southport
English National League North
12.03.24	Chester - Southport	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Banbury United - Southport	0:1 ✺
05.03.24	Warrington Town - Southport	0:3 ✺
02.03.24	Southport - Peterborough Sports	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Southport - Hereford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WWWTL
- Blyth Spartans
English National League North
12.03.24	Blyth Spartans - Darlington	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	Blyth Spartans - King`s Lynn Town	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Tamworth - Blyth Spartans	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Blyth Spartans - Boston United	2:2 ✺
20.02.24	Farsley - Blyth Spartans	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.11.23	Blyth Spartans - Southport	3:3
07.03.23	Southport - Blyth Spartans	2:1
24.01.23	Blyth Spartans - Southport	1:0
22.02.22	Southport - Blyth Spartans	2:3
11.12.21	Blyth Spartans - Southport	1:2
24.10.20	Blyth Spartans - Southport	0:3
21.12.19	Blyth Spartans - Southport	1:4

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