Match Info

Date: 27 December 2020, Sunday


	Bnei Yehuda		Hapoel Beer Sheva

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.1	1.95
	3.3	3.1	2.05
	3.7	2.95	2.05
	3.6	3	2.04
	3.93	3.18	2.15
	3.74	3.08	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)	3.07 ↓ (3.29)	2.06 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bnei Yehuda
25.1%

Draw
30%

Hapoel Beer Sheva
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.3%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21.8%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bnei Yehuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Hapoel Beer Sheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bnei Yehuda than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Beer Sheva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.9%	30.8%	42.3%

Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Beer Sheva Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Bnei Yehuda will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Beer Sheva: 23.3% – 61.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group) and 7 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)).

Bnei Yehuda is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Beer Sheva is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hapoel Beer Sheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hapoel Beer Sheva will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Bnei Yehuda won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 16-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Bnei Yehuda won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bnei Yehuda
Israeli Ligat haAl
22.12.20	Maccabi Haifa - Bnei Yehuda	3:0 ✺
19.12.20	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Netanya	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Hadera	0:3 ✺
05.12.20	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Bnei Yehuda	1:0 ✺
28.11.20	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Tel Aviv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLLW
- Hapoel Beer Sheva
Israeli Ligat haAl
23.12.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:2 ✺
20.12.20	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:3 ✺
16.12.20	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:2 ✺
13.12.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.12.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Nice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
10.06.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Bnei Yehuda	2:1 penalties
Israeli Ligat haAl
15.02.20	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1
30.11.19	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Bnei Yehuda	1:2
11.05.19	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:3
06.04.19	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Bnei Yehuda	2:1
06.01.19	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:1
24.09.18	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Bnei Yehuda	0:0

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