The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bnei Yehuda 41.4%
Draw 27.2%
MS Ashdod 31.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.3%
27.7%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
27.9%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bnei Yehuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
MS Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bnei Yehuda than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Bnei Yehuda - MS Ashdod Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Tamam I. ⚽,
65', 0 - 2, Mazal S. ⚽,
84', Levy M. 🟥,
87', 1 - 2, Jonathas ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Jonathas ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 2)
101', 2 - 3, Hazut I. ⚽,
109', 3 - 3, Shirazi O. ⚽,
120+4', 3 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bnei Yehuda won 2.
Bnei Yehuda has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ashdod is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bnei Yehuda has recorded 9 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:29 (averaging 1.6:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bnei Yehuda against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 21:17 goals (averaging 1.9:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Bnei Yehuda - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.25%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.