Match Info

Date: 1 March 2020, Sunday


	Boa Esporte		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.66
	4.33	3.5	1.72
	4.5	3.3	1.68
	4.89	3.31	1.61
	5.55	3.51	1.68
	5	3.4	1.67
	5	3.56	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.86 ↑ (4.35)	3.44 ↓ (3.46)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boa Esporte
18.8%

Draw
26.5%

Atlético Mineiro
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

26.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

20.7%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boa Esporte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boa Esporte than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boa Esporte - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boa Esporte
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
19.02.20	Boa Esporte - URT	3:0 ✺
16.02.20	Boa Esporte - Villa Nova AC	1:3 ✺
09.02.20	Caldense - Boa Esporte	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.02.20	Vilhenense - Boa Esporte	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
29.01.20	Tombense - Boa Esporte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLTT
- Atlético Mineiro
Copa do Brasil
26.02.20	Afogados da Ingazeira - Atlético Mineiro	3:2 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
20.02.20	Atlético Mineiro - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
16.02.20	Atlético Mineiro - Caldense	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.02.20	Campinense - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
09.02.20	URT - Atlético Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
07.04.19	Atlético Mineiro - Boa Esporte	5:0
30.03.19	Boa Esporte - Atlético Mineiro	0:0
20.01.19	Atlético Mineiro - Boa Esporte	5:0
18.01.18	Boa Esporte - Atlético Mineiro	0:0
21.02.16	Atlético Mineiro - Boa Esporte	5:1
05.04.15	Boa Esporte - Atlético Mineiro	2:0

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