Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 1
Brazil	Premiere, SporTV
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Ecuador	DAZN
South-america	DGO Latin America
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DSports 1
World	OneFootball TV


	Atlético Mineiro		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	3
	2.45	2.85	2.80
	2.55	2.92	2.8	Watch
	2.7	2.99	3.13
	2.65	2.89	3.04	Watch
	2.6	2.8	3.05
	2.66	2.86	3.06
	2.5	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.61)	2.92 ↑ (2.75)	2.97 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
36.3%

Draw
32.1%

Cruzeiro
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

33.8%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

34.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Everson (C) 2. Natanael 4. Ruan Tressoldi 14. Vitor Hugo 6. Lodi R. 15. Castano K. 21. Franco A. 28. Cuello 7. Fred 11. Bernard 9. Cassierra M.	81. Otavio Costa (G) 23. Fagner 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 25. Villalba L. 8. Gerson 29. Romero L. (C) 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira 20. Wesley 19. Kaio Jorge
Substitutes
5. Alexsander 39. Cisse M. 92. Dudu 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 10. Gustavo Scarpa 27. Minda A. 36. Pascini K. 25. Perez T. 23. Preciado A. 19. Reinier 30. Victor Hugo 40. Vitao	1. Cassio (G) 67. Costa J. 38. Felipe Morais 43. Joao Marcelo 70. Kenji 16. Lucas Silva 7. Matheus Henrique 97. Rodriguez L. 27. Rojas G. 22. Villarreal N. 12. William Furtado 5. Ze Lucas
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Artur Jorge

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Ruan Tressoldi ↓, Vitao ↑,
25', Otavio Costa 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge (Penalty Awarded),
35', Kaio Jorge 🟨,
36', Jonathan Jesus ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
42', Villalba L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cassierra M. ↓, Reinier ↑,
58', Wesley ↓, Kenji ↑,
58', Natanael 🟨,
61', Villalba L. 🟨,
65', Kaio Jorge ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
65', Matheus Pereira ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
65', Gerson ↓, Rojas G. ↑,
65', Bernard ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
65', Franco A. ↓, Minda A. ↑,
71', Romero L. 🟨,
72', Natanael ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
77', 1 - 1, Victor Hugo ⚽, Fred (A),
88', 2 - 1, Fred ⚽, Victor Hugo (A),
90+4', Arroyo K. 🟨,
90+9', Fabricio Bruno 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 2.

Atlético MG is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cruzeiro has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Atlético MG: Duarte L. (Hamstring Injury) Everson (Inactive) Igor Gomes (Knee Injury) Indio (Knee Injury) Lyanco (Foot Injury) Patrick Silva (Knee Injury) Ruan Tressoldi (Injury)

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Bruno Rodrigues (Inactive) Gabriel Pec (Broken Leg) Sinisterra L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Mineiro - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.7%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
29.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.08.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
22.08.26	Internacional RS - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Atlético Mineiro - Grêmio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTTW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
29.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.08.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
22.08.26	Cruzeiro - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.26	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
25.08.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:3
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.03.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
25.01.26	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	1:1
Copa do Brasil
11.09.25	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	2:0
27.08.25	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:2

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