Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Elcyr Resende de Mendonca (Rio de Janeiro)


	Boavista		Água Santa

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.65
	2.39	2.95	2.9
	2.29	2.92	2.99
	2.35	3.02	3.01	Watch
	2.34	2.95	3
	2.5	3.1	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.5)	2.99 ↓ (3.15)	2.87 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
38.1%

Draw
30.3%

Água Santa
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.6%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.1%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Boavista - Água Santa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Villian ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Gabriel Conceicao ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 2 - 1, Rafhael Lucas ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 6).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista SC
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.25	Nova Iguaçu - Boavista	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Boavista - Maricá	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Boavista - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Rio Branco AC ES - Boavista	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Boavista - Portuguesa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLT
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.25	Água Santa - Rio Branco AC ES	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Porto Vitória - Água Santa	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Água Santa - Portuguesa	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Nova Iguaçu - Água Santa	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Água Santa - Pouso Alegre	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWWL

Boavista - Água Santa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide