Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday
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Água Santa |
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Pouso Alegre |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.72 |
3.1 |
4.6 |
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1.95 |
3 |
4.06 |
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 |
1.74 |
3.14 |
5.19 |
Watch |
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1.95 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
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1.87 |
2.94 |
4.41 |
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1.72 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↑ (1.72) |
3.05 ↓ (3.3) |
4.38 ↑ (4.2) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Água Santa 49.6% | Draw 29.7% | Pouso Alegre 20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Pouso Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pouso Alegre than the current prediction. (-0.6%)Água Santa - Pouso Alegre Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Daniel Bahia ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 73', 2 - 0, Levi ⚽,
Preview
Recent performances by Água Santa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Pouso Alegre is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Água Santa is considered a favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Água Santa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).Including home matches between the teams, Água Santa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 18.04.26 | Pouso Alegre - Água Santa | 0:2 | | 26.07.25 | Pouso Alegre - Água Santa | 0:2 | | 19.04.25 | Água Santa - Pouso Alegre | 2:3 | | 17.06.24 | Água Santa - Pouso Alegre | 1:0 | | 02.06.24 | Pouso Alegre - Água Santa | 0:0 |
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