Match Info
Serie D - Round 4Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Água Santa |
|
Portuguesa |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.73 |
3.25 |
2.01 |
|
 |
3.7 |
3.12 |
2.01 |
 Watch |
 |
3.5 |
3 |
1.95 |
|
 |
3.84 |
3.32 |
1.97 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↑
(3.4) |
3.17 ↑
(2.78) |
1.99 ↓
(2.23) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Água Santa
24.9% | Draw
28.9% | Portuguesa
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Água Santa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-4.2%)Água Santa - Portuguesa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Matheus Cecchini ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Água Santa won 2.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Água Santa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Portuguesa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Água Santa won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.3:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, Água Santa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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