The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boavista 37.8%
Draw 32.9%
Nova Iguaçu 29.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
30.6%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
29.6%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boavista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Boavista - Nova Iguaçu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Fernando ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boavista won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Boavista is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Boavista has recorded 3 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:13 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Boavista against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:5 goals (averaging 1.1:0.7 per game).