Match Info

Primera A Women - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Boca Juniors		Independiente

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.54	10.5
	1.23	5.45	11.38	Watch
	1.23	5.4	10
	1.25	6.04	8.93
	1.21	5.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.38)	5.53 ↑ (5.01)	10.36 ↑ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
74.5%

Draw
16.6%

Independiente
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

18.4%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

17.4%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boca Juniors - Independiente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4.

Boca Juniors is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Independiente have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Boca Juniors may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Boca Juniors holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Boca Juniors has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:1 (averaging 2.1:0.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Boca Juniors against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:0 goals (averaging 1.5:0 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boca Juniors W	11	8	1	2	18:8	10	25
13	Independiente W	11	3	0	8	13:27	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
12.09.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Boca Juniors - Belgrano	0:2 ✺
22.08.26	Boca Juniors - Banfield	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
03.08.26	Racing - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLTWW
- CA Independiente Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
11.09.26	Independiente - Lanús	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	San Luis - Independiente	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Independiente - Unión Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
24.08.26	Independiente - Social Atlético Televisión	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
15.06.26	Independiente - Boca Juniors	0:1
17.08.25	Boca Juniors - Independiente	0:0
25.03.25	Independiente - Boca Juniors	0:4
08.12.24	Independiente - Boca Juniors	0:6
20.07.24	Boca Juniors - Independiente	2:0
11.05.23	Independiente - Boca Juniors	1:1
17.04.22	Independiente - Boca Juniors	0:1

Boca Juniors - Independiente: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide