Match Info

Primera A Women - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday


	Independiente		Lanús

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.95	2.65
	2.43	3.00	2.70
	2.34	3.31	2.93
	2.36	3.22	2.84	Watch
	2.30	3.25	2.85
	2.54	3.12	2.73
	2.35	3.05	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.28)	3.13 ↑ (3)	2.78 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
38.1%

Draw
29.1%

Lanús
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.8%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

30.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Independiente - Lanús Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Independiente won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Lanus W	10	4	3	3	8:8	0	15
13	Independiente W	11	3	0	8	13:27	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
05.09.26	San Luis - Independiente	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Independiente - Unión Santa Fe	3:1 ✺
24.08.26	Independiente - Social Atlético Televisión	0:2 ✺
17.08.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente	2:3 ✺
10.08.26	Independiente - Belgrano	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWL
- Lanús Women
Argentinian Primera A Women
05.09.26	Lanús - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Belgrano - Lanús	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	Banfield - Lanús	3:2 ✺
08.08.26	Lanús - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Newells Old Boys - Lanús	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera A Women
23.05.26	Lanús - Independiente	0:1
15.04.23	Lanús - Independiente	1:3
15.03.22	Independiente - Lanús	0:1

Independiente - Lanús: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide