Match Info
Primera A Women - Clausura - Round 5Date: 24 August 2026, MondayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | LPF Play |
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Independiente |
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Social Atlético Televisión |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.80 |
2.95 |
2.35 |
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 |
3.05 |
3.05 |
2.16 |
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 |
2.85 |
3.12 |
2.49 |
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 |
2.85 |
3.12 |
2.41 |
 Watch |
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2.75 |
3.05 |
2.45 |
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 |
2.97 |
3.10 |
2.38 |
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 |
2.85 |
2.90 |
2.33 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.87 ↑
(2.8) |
3.04 ↓
(3.1) |
2.37 ↑
(2.28) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Independiente
31.7% | Draw
29.9% | Social Atlético Televisión
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Social Atlético Televisión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Social Atlético Televisión than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Independiente - Social Atlético Televisión Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 43', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.Independiente is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).SAT's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
Standings
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Social Atletico Television W | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 17 |
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| 13 | Independiente W | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian Primera A Women | | | 02.05.26 | Social Atlético Televisión - Independiente | 0:1 | | 08.08.25 | Independiente - Social Atlético Televisión | 0:3 | | Club Friendly Women | | | 19.07.25 | Social Atlético Televisión - Independiente | 2:2 | | Argentinian Primera A Women | | | 31.01.25 | Independiente - Social Atlético Televisión | 1:0 | | 17.11.24 | Independiente - Social Atlético Televisión | 0:0 | | 30.06.24 | Social Atlético Televisión - Independiente | 0:1 | | 28.08.23 | Independiente - Social Atlético Televisión | 2:1 |
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