Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Boca Juniors 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	4.13	6.17
	1.37	4.45	6.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.64)	4.29 ↑ (3.52)	6.54 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors 2
64.3%

Draw
21.5%

Vélez Sársfield 2
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

26.1%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

25.5%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors 2's performance.

Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mendia M. ⚽,
33', Flores L. 🟥,
35', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 1 - 1, Porcel M. (Pen),
84', 🟥,
85', 1 - 2, Pozzo F. ⚽,
89', 🟥,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Boca Juniors 2 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Boca Juniors 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.06.25	Boca Juniors 2 - San Martín de San Juan 2	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	3:0 ✺
29.05.25	Tigre 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:4 ✺
21.05.25	River Plate 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:1 ✺
15.05.25	Boca Juniors 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLT
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
16.06.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Belgrano 2	3:0 ✺
12.06.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Tigre 2	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	River Plate 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
20.05.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	3:1 ✺
13.05.25	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
24.02.23	Boca Juniors 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2
30.09.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:1
08.04.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:3

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