Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	River Plate 2		Boca Juniors 2

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.85	2.50
	2.28	2.90	2.88
	3.00	2.80	2.68
	2.8	2.96	2.56	Watch
	2.90	2.70	2.65
	2.79	3.30	2.45
	2.80	2.95	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.23)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.6 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate 2
33.3%

Draw
31.4%

Boca Juniors 2
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

28.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate 2's form might have worsened.

Boca Juniors 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

River Plate 2 - Boca Juniors 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 1 - 2, ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 4th in the Promotion ~ Reserve League (Clausura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate 2 won 2.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, River Plate 2 has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:10 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for River Plate 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1.5:0.8 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.09.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	River Plate 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 ✺
25.08.26	River Plate 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	2:2 ✺
18.08.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - River Plate 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TTWTW
- Boca Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.09.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Atlético de Rafaela 2	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Platense 2 - Boca Juniors 2	0:3 ✺
03.09.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Quilmes 2	1:0 ✺
26.08.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:3 ✺
20.08.26	Boca Juniors 2 - Central Córdoba 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
05.07.26	Boca Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	0:1 penalties
22.04.26	Boca Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	2:0
27.11.25	Boca Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	2:0
05.09.25	Boca Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	1:1
21.05.25	River Plate 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:1
08.09.24	Boca Juniors 2 - River Plate 2	0:1
09.06.24	River Plate 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:0

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