The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Boca Juniors de Cali 35.1%
Draw 30.1%
Patriotas 34.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
27.4%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
27.3%
36.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Patriotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Boca Juniors de Cali - Patriotas Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Patriotas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Obando E. (G) 17. Andrade J. 10. Aponza J. 34. Cortes D. 7. Cuero J. 3. Hurtado K. 20. Moran Y. 18. Mosquera H. 26. Ortiz H. 6. Perez L. 35. Viveros J.
26. Acevedo A. 10. Alvarez K. 7. Campana J. 19. Figueroa F. 4. Hurtado J. 34. Palacios Y. 22. Porras A. 21. Renteria L. 29. Sanchez J. 6. Torres F. 5. Zapata E.
Substitutes
5. Angulo Perlaza H. 1. Hoyos S. (G) 4. Llanos S. 23. Lucumi M. 25. Mancilla A. 13. Nagles F. 27. Salcedo J. 21. Urrutia P.
17. Angulo H. 20. Arango E. 27. Bedoya M. 12. Lozano A. 16. Molina T. 9. Montes J. 3. Montien D. 38. Riuz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
5', Cortes D. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Cortes D. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Cortes D. ⚽,
15', Zapata E. 🟨,
33', 3 - 0, Aponza J. ⚽,
35', Renteria L. ↓, Angulo H. ↑,
36', Torres F. ↓, Riuz J. ↑,
41', Mosquera H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 3 - 1, Riuz J. ⚽,
58', 4 - 1, Viveros J. ⚽,
59', Aponza J. 🟨,
64', Alvarez K. ↓, Montes J. ↑,
72', 🟨,
79', Cuero J. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
82', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
89', Andrade J. ↓, Lucumi M. ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Patriotas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Boca Juniors has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:11 (averaging 0.7:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Boca Juniors against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).