Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Bocholt		Velbert

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.65	5.9
	1.43	4.8	6.08
	1.43	4.69	5.81
	1.37	4.55	6.6
	1.5	4.4	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.48)	4.62 ↑ (4.2)	5.93 ↑ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bocholt
64.4%

Draw
20%

Velbert
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

21.7%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

20.8%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bocholt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Velbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bocholt than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Bocholt - Velbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Frey M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, Wiese M. ⚽,
71', 2 - 1, Euschen C. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bocholt won 3.

Bocholt is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Velbert's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Velbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bocholt is the team to beat.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bocholt won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bocholt won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bocholt	11	3	4	4	24:26	-2	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Bocholt
German Regionalliga West
07.03.26	Bocholt - Fortuna Köln	2:3 ✺
01.03.26	Siegen - Bocholt	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bocholt - Bonner	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Paderborn II - Bocholt	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Bocholt - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLTL
- SSVg Velbert
German Regionalliga West
13.03.26	Velbert - Fortuna Köln	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Bonner - Velbert	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Velbert - Bochum II	2:3 ✺
27.02.26	Velbert - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Gütersloh - Velbert	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
25.09.25	Velbert - Bocholt	1:2
02.03.24	Bocholt - Velbert	4:1
16.09.23	Velbert - Bocholt	1:1
Club Friendly
18.01.23	Velbert - Bocholt	Canceled
German Oberliga Niederrhein
10.06.22	Velbert - Bocholt	2:4
19.09.21	Bocholt - Velbert	1:1
14.12.19	Velbert - Bocholt	2:1

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