Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Bochum		Hannover

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.1	1.91	Watch
	3	3.8	2.15
	3.3	3.8	1.92	Watch
	3.63	4.09	1.99
	3.41	3.98	1.97	Watch
	3.3	3.7	1.95
	3.41	3.86	1.94	Watch
	2.8	3.45	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.84)	3.85 ↑ (3.63)	2 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
28.6%

Draw
24.4%

Hannover
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

25.6%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

24.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hannover's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Bochum - Hannover Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Hannover will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover: 65% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hannover (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 4. Masovic E. 20. Loosli N. 13. Olsen O. 19. Bero M. (C) 24. Pannewig M. 23. Miyoshi K. 21. Onyeka F. 11. Kwarteng M. 33. Hofmann P.	1. Noll N. (G) 17. Allgeier B. 3. Tomiak B. 6. Nawrocki M. 15. Aseko-Nkili N. 23. Thordarson S. T. 8. Leopold E. (C) 33. Neubauer M. 18. Yokota D. 9. Kallman B. 7. Bundu M.
Substitutes
29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 37. Crimaldi A. 17. Holtmann G. 30. Keumo O. 35. Koscierski K. 16. Marshall C. 22. Thiede N. (G) 7. Vogt K. 8. Watjen K.	5. Ghita V. 19. Kokolo W. 27. Matsuda H. 20. Okon I. 29. Oudenne K. 13. Roggow F. 24. Saad E. 26. Taibi W. 30. Weinkauf L. (G)
Coaches
Rosler U.	Titz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Pannewig M. ↓, Watjen K. ↑,
19', Kwarteng M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bundu M. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
46', Thordarson S. T. ↓, Oudenne K. ↑,
46', Miyoshi K. ↓, Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Nawrocki M. ⚽, Saad E. (A),
55', 1 - 1, Alfa-Ruprecht F. ⚽, Loosli N. (A),
59', Olsen O. 🟨,
62', Kwarteng M. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
63', Allgeier B. 🟨,
69', Allgeier B. ↓, Okon I. ↑,
69', Kallman B. ↓, Taibi W. ↑,
75', Watjen K. ↓, Vogt K. ↑,
76', Morgalla L. ↓, Koscierski K. ↑,
77', Aseko-Nkili N. 🟨,
79', Bero M. 🟨,
90+1', Tomiak B. ↓, Ghita V. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1.

Recent performances by Bochum have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hannover is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hannover could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Bochum: Lenz C. (Yellow Cards) Rosch R. (Illness) Sobottka M. (Injury)

There will not play in Hannover: Pichler B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Rakneberg M. (Knee Injury) Wittek M. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Hannover: 2.67% Bochum: 1.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bochum	6	2	1	3	5:6	-1	7
12	Hannover	7	2	1	4	7:12	-5	7

Last Results with these Odds

Bochum - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.62%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Hannover - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.82%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
02.05.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Bochum	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Bochum - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Dynamo Dresden - Bochum	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Bochum - Eintracht Braunschweig	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Magdeburg - Bochum	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWL
- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
03.05.26	Hannover - Preußen Münster	3:3 ✺
25.04.26	Karlsruher - Hannover	1:3 ✺
18.04.26	Hannover - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Darmstadt - Hannover	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Hannover - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Hannover - Bochum	0:0
Club Friendly
12.10.23	Bochum - Hannover	1:3
German 2 Bundesliga
18.04.21	Bochum - Hannover	4:3
15.12.20	Hannover - Bochum	2:0
28.06.20	Hannover - Bochum	2:0
13.12.19	Bochum - Hannover	2:1
13.02.17	Hannover - Bochum	2:1

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