Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 5, SportKlub 6
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Bochum		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4
	2.05	3.45	3.3
	2.23	3.57	3.35
	2.12	3.41	3.35	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.04	3.61	3.43	Watch
	2.02	3.8	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.02)	3.53 ↓ (3.8)	3.34 ↓ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
45.1%

Draw
26.7%

Preußen Münster
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

24.7%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Preußen Münster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	9.1%	4.5%

Bochum - Preußen Münster Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Bochum (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Münster (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bochum will win (18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bochum will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 9 - 90%). Münster (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 7. Vogt K. 32. Wittek M. 15. Passlack F. 34. Lenz C. 17. Holtmann G. 19. Bero M. (C) 8. Watjen K. 21. Onyeka F. 33. Hofmann P.	1. Schenk J. (C) 27. ter Horst J. 22. Heuer J. 3. Jaeckel P. 25. Bolay L. 10. Schulz M. 21. Preissinger R. 20. Hendrix J. 8. Mees J. 30. Amenyido E. 17. Batista Meier O.
Substitutes
14. Clairicia M. 25. Hulsenbusch D. 36. Jashari L. 30. Keumo O. 5. Kleine-Bekel C. 20. Loosli N. 26. Rosch R. 9. Sissoko I. 22. Thiede N. (G)	23. Batmaz M. 26. Behrens M. (G) 5. Bouchama Y. 2. Kirkeskov M. 24. Koulis N. 13. Lokotsch L. 14. Makridis C. 28. Meyerhofer M. 15. Scherder S.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Ende A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Mees J. ⚽, Schulz M. (A),
31', Morgalla L. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Hofmann P. ⚽, Passlack F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', ter Horst J. 🟨,
49', 1 - 2, Mees J. ⚽, Hendrix J. (A),
54', Lenz C. 🟨,
58', Holtmann G. ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
58', Passlack F. ↓, Loosli N. ↑,
58', Hofmann P. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
63', Amenyido E. ↓, Lokotsch L. ↑,
66', Schulz M. 🟨,
68', Bolay L. ↓, Kirkeskov M. ↑,
68', ter Horst J. ↓, Meyerhofer M. ↑,
75', Hendrix J. 🟨,
76', Watjen K. ↓, Keumo O. ↑,
79', Morgalla L. ↓, Rosch R. ↑,
80', Mees J. ↓, Scherder S. ↑,
83', Sissoko I. 🟨,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bochum may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Münster has had a series of home games.

Bochum will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bochum: Koscierski K. (Shoulder Injury) Kwarteng M. (Ankle Injury) Masovic E. (Health problems) Miyoshi K. (Muscle Injury) Pannewig M. (Illness) Sissoko I. (Collarbone injury) Strompf P. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Münster: Benger M. (Foot Injury) Kirsch M. (Inactive) Korte J. (Groin Injury) Tasov L. (Thigh Injury) Tikvic A. (Knee Injury) Vilhelmsson O. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Bero M. (Contusion) Vogt K. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Münster: Amenyido E. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home match between the teams, Bochum won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
23.08.25	Schalke 04 - Bochum	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Berliner FC Dynamo - Bochum	1:3 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Bochum - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Darmstadt - Bochum	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.25	Bochum - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLL
- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
22.08.25	Preußen Münster - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Preußen Münster - Hertha Berlin	0:1 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Karlsruher - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Preußen Münster - Viktoria Köln	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
20.03.25	Bochum - Preußen Münster	4:2
21.01.17	Preußen Münster - Bochum	2:1
12.11.15	Preußen Münster - Bochum	0:0
01.07.15	Preußen Münster - Bochum	2:2
30.06.13	Preußen Münster - Bochum	1:1

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