Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 3

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Willenborg F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Schalke 04		Bochum

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	3	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.9
	2.18	3.45	3	Watch
	2.27	3.65	3.18
	2.23	3.49	3.04	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.88	Watch
	2.27	3.54	3.03	Watch
	2.3	3.65	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.22)	3.52 ↓ (3.55)	3 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04
41.8%

Draw
26.8%

Bochum
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

26.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	38.1%	19%

Schalke 04 - Bochum Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Bochum will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Schalke: 23.2% – 66.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bochum (1.64) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Schalke (1.63) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +0.75 - Bochum (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Schalke (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Bochum (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karius L. (G) 5. Becker T. 25. Katic N. 4. Kurucay H. 17. Gantenbein A. 6. Schallenberg R. 23. El-Faouzi S. 33. Becker V. 18. Antwi-Adjei C. 19. Karaman K. 9. Sylla M.	1. Horn T. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 7. Vogt K. 3. Strompf P. 15. Passlack F. 34. Lenz C. 32. Wittek M. 8. Watjen K. 19. Bero M. (C) 33. Hofmann P. 17. Holtmann G.
Substitutes
43. Ayhan M. 14. Bachmann J. 30. Donkor A. 37. Gruger M. 28. Heekeren J. (G) 15. Hojlund E. 11. Lasme B. 27. Porath F. 2. Sanchez F.	18. Bamba S. 14. Clairicia M. 5. Kleine-Bekel C. 35. Koscierski K. 40. Onyeka F. 24. Pannewig M. 26. Rosch R. 9. Sissoko I. 22. Thiede N. (G)
Coaches
Muslic M.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Vogt K. (Pen),
34', Strompf P. ↓, Pannewig M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', Hofmann P. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Holtmann G. ⚽,
70', Holtmann G. ↓, Kleine-Bekel C. ↑,
70', Hofmann P. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
71', Antwi-Adjei C. ↓, Lasme B. ↑,
71', Gantenbein A. ↓, Porath F. ↑,
72', Schallenberg R. ↓, Bachmann J. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Kurucay H. ⚽, Porath F. (A),
78', Passlack F. 🟨,
80', 2 - 1, Lasme B. ⚽, El-Faouzi S. (A),
85', Watjen K. ↓, Onyeka F. ↑,
85', Passlack F. ↓, Clairicia M. ↑,
86', Becker V. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
90+1', Sylla M. ↓, Hojlund E. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Schalke is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Schalke: Bayindir A. (Thigh Injury) Kalas T. (Knock) Toure T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bochum: Kwarteng M. (Ankle Injury) Masovic E. (Health problems) Onyeka F. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Schalke: Remmert P. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Sissoko I. (Collarbone injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Schalke won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Schalke won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Schalke 04	0:1 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Kaiserslautern - Schalke 04	1:0 ✺
01.08.25	Schalke 04 - Hertha Berlin	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Schalke 04 - Sevilla	2:4 ✺
20.07.25	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Schalke 04	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLW
- VfL Bochum
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Berliner FC Dynamo - Bochum	1:3 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Bochum - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Darmstadt - Bochum	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.25	Bochum - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Young Boys - Bochum	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
04.03.23	Bochum - Schalke 04	0:2
10.09.22	Schalke 04 - Bochum	3:1
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Schalke 04 - Bochum	3:0
05.08.14	Bochum - Schalke 04	1:1

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