Match Info

Regionalliga West - Round 8

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Leimbachstadion (Siegen)


	Siegen		Sportfreunde Lotte

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.75	3.3
	1.83	3.64	3.6
	1.61	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.37)	3.8 ↓ (4.5)	3.88 ↓ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siegen
51.8%

Draw
24.4%

Sportfreunde Lotte
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

20.2%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

19.2%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Siegen's form might have worsened.

Sportfreunde Lotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportfreunde Lotte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siegen than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Siegen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportfreunde Lotte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Siegen - Sportfreunde Lotte Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Siegen (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Siegen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Siegen won 1.

Siegen has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

SF Lotte's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Siegen is a strong favorite.

We predict that Siegen will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Siegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Siegen won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportfreunde Siegen
German Regionalliga West
12.09.25	Bocholt - Siegen	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Paderborn II - Siegen	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Siegen - Wiedenbrück	3:1 ✺
17.08.25	Köln II - Siegen	2:4 ✺
09.08.25	Siegen - Schalke 04 II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWT
- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Regionalliga West
12.09.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Paderborn II	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Wiedenbrück - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:2 ✺
24.08.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Köln II	2:1 ✺
20.08.25	Schalke 04 II - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Sportfreunde Lotte - Freiburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
21.04.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Siegen	3:1
29.10.23	Siegen - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:0
06.04.23	Sportfreunde Lotte - Siegen	2:0
09.10.22	Siegen - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:2
German Regionalliga West
09.05.15	Siegen - Sportfreunde Lotte	3:3
09.11.14	Sportfreunde Lotte - Siegen	1:0
14.12.13	Siegen - Sportfreunde Lotte	1:1

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