Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)

Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	Direkte Sport


	Bodø Glimt		RFS

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	7.5	Watch
	1.3	6	8.75
	1.28	6	8.5
	1.33	5.55	9.49
	1.31	5.67	7.91	Watch
	1.25	5.8	8.5
	1.32	6.15	9	Watch
	1.32	5.7	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.4)	5.77 ↑ (4.35)	8.42 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
72.4%

Draw
16.4%

RFS
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.1%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

21.9%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodø Glimt's performance.

RFS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFS than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	8.9%	11.1%

Bodø Glimt - RFS Predictions

Users Predictions: Bodø Glimt will win (35 of 44 users predict this - 79.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 91.47%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haikin N. (G) 5. Wembangomo B. 18. Moe B. (C) 6. Gundersen J. 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. 14. Saltnes U. 20. Sjovold F. 28. Kapskarmo O. 94. Mikkelsen A.	40. Ondoa F. (G) 2. Balodis D. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 9. Ikaunieks J. 27. Markhiev A. 26. Panic S. 25. Mares P. 49. Kigurs M. 10. Emerson Deocleciano 7. Diomande I.
Substitutes
4. Bjortuft O. L. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 19. Fet S. 23. Hauge J. 21. Helmersen A. 1. Lund J. (G) 25. Maatta I. 30. Sorensen A.	17. Kouadio C. 22. Lemajic D. 15. Ndjiki R. 30. Njie H. 8. Odisharia L. 11. Savalnieks R. 77. Silagadze L. 1. Steinbors P. (G) 21. Stuglis E. 16. Vilkovs S. (G)
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Morozs V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Mikkelsen A. ⚽, Saltnes U. (A),
9', Emerson Deocleciano ↓, Kouadio C. ↑,
18', 2 - 0, Saltnes U. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Kapskarmo O. ⚽, Saltnes U. (A),
44', Panic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Kigurs M. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
67', Wembangomo B. ↓, Maatta I. ↑,
67', Evjen H. ↓, Fet S. ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Mikkelsen A. ⚽, Saltnes U. (A),
80', Kapskarmo O. ↓, Helmersen A. ↑,
80', Bjorkan F. ↓, Sorensen A. ↑,
81', Markhiev A. ↓, Silagadze L. ↑,
84', Mikkelsen A. ↓, Hauge J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Bodø Glimt is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

RFS is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

RFS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bodø Glimt is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bodø Glimt to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.07.24	Bodø Glimt - Odd	3:1 ✺
13.07.24	Sandefjord - Bodø Glimt	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Bodø Glimt - Brann	5:1 ✺
28.06.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	Haugesund - Bodø Glimt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW
- FK RFS
UEFA Champions League
17.07.24	Larne - RFS	0:4 ✺
Latvian Cup
13.07.24	RFS - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.07.24	RFS - Larne	3:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
05.07.24	RFS - Jelgava	7:0 ✺
01.07.24	Liepāja - RFS	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW

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