Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Inver Park (Larne)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	TV4
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Larne		RFS

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4	3.8	1.83
	4	3.75	1.83
	4.3	3.9	1.85
	3.9	3.85	1.82	Watch
	3.8	3.7	1.75
	4.2	3.81	1.88	Watch
	3.95	3.65	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.21)	3.76 ↑ (3.64)	1.82 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Larne
23.3%

Draw
25%

RFS
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

25.3%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Larne's form might have worsened.

RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RFS's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	15.8%	73.7%

Larne - RFS Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Larne will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). RFS will win (votes: 28 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RFS: 59.7% – 87.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. 18. Bolger C. (C) 4. Donnelly A. 3. Ives L. 8. Randall M. 27. Gallagher C. 11. Graham S. 30. Lusty M. 29. Ryan A. 7. McKendry C.	40. Ondoa F. (G) 2. Balodis D. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 9. Ikaunieks J. 27. Markhiev A. 26. Panic S. 25. Mares P. 7. Diomande I. 22. Lemajic D. 10. Emerson Deocleciano
Substitutes
5. Altintop B. 10. Bonis L. 24. Brown S. 34. Devlin O. 22. Glynn M. 36. Graham D. (G) 9. O'Neill P. 25. Sloan D. 6. Thomson J.	33. Cucurs D. 49. Kigurs M. 17. Kouadio C. 15. Ndjiki R. 30. Njie H. 8. Odisharia L. 11. Savalnieks R. 70. Savic D. 1. Steinbors P. (G) 16. Vilkovs S. (G) 99. Zaleiko G. 18. Zelenkovs D.
Coaches
Lynch T.	Morozs V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
19', Randall M. 🟨,
19', Ondoa F. 🟨,
20', Gallagher C. 🟨,
25', Graham S. 🟨,
31', Ryan A. 🟨,
35', Lemajic D. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Emerson Deocleciano ⚽, Lemajic D. (A),
41', Lusty M. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Lemajic D. ⚽,
45+3', 0 - 3, Ikaunieks J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Markhiev A. ↓, Njie H. ↑,
56', 0 - 4, Diomande I. ⚽, Ikaunieks J. (A),
60', Lusty M. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
60', Randall M. ↓, Sloan D. ↑,
60', Lemajic D. ↓, Kouadio C. ↑,
60', Emerson Deocleciano ↓, Odisharia L. ↑,
60', Ikaunieks J. ↓, Kigurs M. ↑,
73', McKendry C. ↓, Thomson J. ↑,
73', Gallagher C. ↓, O'Neill P. ↑,
73', Mares P. ↓, Ndjiki R. ↑,
78', Graham S. ↓, Altintop B. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.

RFS is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Larne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently RFS have a series of home games.

In this match RFS is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Larne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Larne FC
UEFA Champions League
10.07.24	RFS - Larne	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Charity Shield
05.07.24	Larne - Cliftonville	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.06.24	Stranraer - Larne	1:1 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
27.04.24	Larne - Coleraine	5:0 ✺
22.04.24	Linfield - Larne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTWT
- FK RFS
Latvian Cup
13.07.24	RFS - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.07.24	RFS - Larne	3:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
05.07.24	RFS - Jelgava	7:0 ✺
01.07.24	Liepāja - RFS	1:3 ✺
26.06.24	RFS - Valmiera	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
10.07.24	RFS - Larne	3:0

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