Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: LNK Sporta Parks (Riga)

Referee: Berka O. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	TV4
United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	RFS		Larne

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.1	7.5	Watch
	1.43	4.6	7.5
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.42	4.5	8.19
	1.42	4.51	7.29	Watch
	1.35	4.5	7.5
	1.44	4.73	7.7	Watch
	1.42	4.55	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.71)	4.5 ↑ (3.49)	7.46 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RFS
66.6%

Draw
20.9%

Larne
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

26.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in RFS's performance.

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Larne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.9%	6.5%	1.6%

RFS - Larne Predictions

Users Predictions: RFS will win (57 of 62 users predict this - 91.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.16% – 98.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ondoa F. (G) 2. Balodis D. 23. Prenga H. 43. Lipuscek Z. (C) 9. Ikaunieks J. 27. Markhiev A. 26. Panic S. 25. Mares P. 7. Diomande I. 49. Kigurs M. 10. Emerson Deocleciano	1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. 5. Altintop B. 18. Bolger C. (C) 3. Ives L. 27. Gallagher C. 4. Donnelly A. 25. Sloan D. 29. Ryan A. 10. Bonis L. 7. McKendry C.
Substitutes
33. Cucurs D. 17. Kouadio C. 22. Lemajic D. 15. Ndjiki R. 30. Njie H. 8. Odisharia L. 70. Savic D. 1. Steinbors P. (G) 16. Vilkovs S. (G) 99. Zaleiko G.	24. Brown S. 34. Devlin O. 22. Glynn M. 36. Graham D. (G) 11. Graham S. 30. Lusty M. 9. O'Neill P. 6. Thomson J.
Coaches
Zavoronkovs V.	Lynch T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Kigurs M. ⚽, Ikaunieks J. (A),
39', Altintop B. 🟨,
42', Donnelly A. 🟨,
45+3', Ikaunieks J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Markhiev A. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
49', 2 - 0, Balodis D. ⚽, Panic S. (A),
58', Bolger C. 🟨,
60', 3 - 0, Panic S. ⚽,
63', Sloan D. ↓, Thomson J. ↑,
63', Altintop B. ↓, Graham S. ↑,
69', Kigurs M. ↓, Kouadio C. ↑,
69', McKendry C. ↓, Lusty M. ↑,
75', Kouadio C. 🟨,
77', Diomande I. ↓, Odisharia L. ↑,
77', Ikaunieks J. ↓, Njie H. ↑,
85', Emerson Deocleciano ↓, Ndjiki R. ↑,
87', Ryan A. ↓, O'Neill P. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

RFS in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

RFS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match RFS is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's RFS to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK RFS
Latvian Virsliga
05.07.24	RFS - Jelgava	7:0 ✺
01.07.24	Liepāja - RFS	1:3 ✺
26.06.24	RFS - Valmiera	4:1 ✺
21.06.24	Auda Riga - RFS	1:3 ✺
16.06.24	RFS - Riga	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWT
- Larne FC
Northern Irish Charity Shield
05.07.24	Larne - Cliftonville	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.06.24	Stranraer - Larne	1:1 ✺
Northern Irish Premiership
27.04.24	Larne - Coleraine	5:0 ✺
22.04.24	Linfield - Larne	1:1 ✺
16.04.24	Glentoran - Larne	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTW

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