Match Info

Super Lig - Round 29

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday

Location: Bodrum İlçe Stadı (Bodrum)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 3
Asia	TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 6
India	Disney+ Hotstar
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Spain	beIN Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
World	Disney+


	Bodrumspor		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	6	4.33	1.4	Watch
	5.5	3.9	1.41
	7.88	4.74	1.38	Watch
	6.4	4.13	1.53
	7.79	4.65	1.41
	6.5	4	1.5
	6.93	4.81	1.43	Watch
	7.88	4.74	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.86 ↑ (6.2)	4.41 ↑ (4.1)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
13.6%

Draw
21.1%

Fenerbahçe
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

23%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

23.9%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bodrumspor - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (30 of 30 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
54. Adiyaman R. (G) 23. Ergun U. 29. Herelle C. 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 4. Degismez E. (C) 20. Brazao P. 26. Mohammed M. 70. Bilsel E. 11. Okita J. 9. Puscas G.	1. Egribayat I. (G) 16. Muldur M. 37. Skriniar M. 95. Akcicek Y. 70. Aydin O. 34. Amrabat S. 53. Szymanski S. 18. Kostic F. 17. Kahveci I. C. 94. Talisca 19. En Nesyri Y.
Substitutes
15. Ajeti Ar. 5. Antalyali T. 10. Bardhi E. 41. Bayrakdar G. 33. Celustka O. 55. Demiroglu B. 16. Fredy 91. Ogruce E. 6. Ozdamar S. 99. Seferi T.	6. Djiku A. 9. Dzeko E. 40. Livakovic D. (G) 22. Mercan L. 21. Osayi-Samuel B. 97. Saint-Maximin A. 10. Tadic D. 23. Tosun C. 8. Yandas M. 5. Yuksek I.
Coaches
Morais J.	Mourinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
4', Mohammed M. 🟨,
5', 0 - 1, Skriniar M. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Puscas G. (Pen),
32', 1 - 2, Aydin O. ⚽, En Nesyri Y. (A),
36', 1 - 3, Szymanski S. ⚽,
45', 1 - 4, Talisca (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bilsel E. ↓, Bardhi E. ↑,
46', Degismez E. ↓, Ajeti Ar. ↑,
46', Brazao P. ↓, Fredy ↑,
56', Okita J. 🟨,
68', Puscas G. ↓, Seferi T. ↑,
72', Talisca ↓, Saint-Maximin A. ↑,
72', Szymanski S. ↓, Tadic D. ↑,
72', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Dzeko E. ↑,
81', Okita J. ↓, Antalyali T. ↑,
81', Kostic F. ↓, Djiku A. ↑,
82', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Yandas M. ↑,
85', 2 - 4, Fredy ⚽, Mohammed M. (A),
90', Saint-Maximin A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

Bodrumspor in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fenerbahçe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Fenerbahçe is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Akkan G. (Injury) Erdilman M. (Knee Injury) Nogueira Sousa D. F. (Yellow Cards) Osman H. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Diego Carlos (Knee Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Soyuncu C. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Dumanli C. (Hernia)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Saint-Maximin A. (Inactive)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bodrumspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.81%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish Super League
16.03.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Bodrumspor	0:2 ✺
07.03.25	Bodrumspor - Kasımpaşa	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Adana Demirspor - Bodrumspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
25.02.25	Sivasspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
21.02.25	Bodrumspor - Hatayspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTWW
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
16.03.25	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.03.25	Glasgow Rangers - Fenerbahçe	1:2 penalties ✺
06.03.25	Fenerbahçe - Glasgow Rangers	1:3 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.03.25	Fenerbahçe - Antalyaspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
27.02.25	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
27.10.24	Fenerbahçe - Bodrumspor	2:0

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