Match Info

TURKEY: TURKISH CUP - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 6 December 2023, Wednesday


	Bodrumspor		Menemenspor

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.47	3.9	5.75
	1.5	4.2	6	Watch
	1.51	4.09	5.47
	1.48	3.92	5.47
	1.4	4	6
	1.48	4.2	6.05	Watch
	1.46	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.31)	4.08 ↓ (4.42)	5.93 ↓ (9.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodrumspor
62.3%

Draw
22.3%

Menemenspor
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

20.6%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

15.9%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bodrumspor's form might have worsened.

Menemenspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Menemenspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bodrumspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Menemenspor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Bodrumspor - Menemenspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bodrumspor will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Menemen will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Menemen: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tosun B. C. (G) 17. Aldair 20. Brazao P. 72. Gonulacar M. 11. Imeri O. 5. Iyican A. E. 26. Mohammed M. 19. Osman H. 6. Ozdamar S. (C) 90. Sevinc H. 29. Turk A. M.	7. Acikgoz M. 23. Aydin R. 6. Belen F. 5. Dernek O. 24. Erdogan I. 1. Goymen B. 77. Kaya S. 66. Kurt M. 10. Sahinturk S. 11. Yildirim O. 17. Yildirim O.
Substitutes
41. Bayrakdar G. . Bengi K. B. 97. Cetin A. 94. Coban B. 48. Dumanli C. 35. Gencalp E. (G) 80. Guven B. . Karatepe Y. 8. Yalcin S.	30. Akay E. (G) 4. Akdeniz O. 80. Arslan F. 99. Caliskan O. (G) 22. Has I. 8. Keskin E. 18. Kurt K. 61. Oksuz A. 9. Ruzgar K. 2. Terzi E.

Preview

Recent matches Bodrumspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Menemenspor is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Bodrumspor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bodrumspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
02.12.23	Şanlıurfaspor - Bodrumspor	0:2 ✺
25.11.23	Bodrumspor - Adanaspor	0:1 ✺
11.11.23	Keçiörengücü - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Bodrumspor - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Boluspor - Bodrumspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTWL
- Menemenspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
02.12.23	Iskenderunspor - Menemenspor	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	Menemenspor - Aksaray Belediyespor	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Düzcespor - Menemenspor	2:4 ✺
11.11.23	Menemenspor - Sarıyer	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Denizlispor - Menemenspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
15.04.18	Menemenspor - Bodrumspor	2:1

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