Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Austria	Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	Sport 2
India	Sony Sports TEN 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Ireland	Virgin Media Two
Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	TSN Malta 7
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Philippines	beIN Connect
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Zoom
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports, TNT Sports 1
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Bodø Glimt		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.6
	1.77	3.9	4.2
	1.75	3.9	4.2
	1.82	3.95	4.34
	1.73	4.08	4.38	Watch
	1.62	4	4.33
	1.85	4.03	4.09
	1.75	3.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.69)	3.97 ↑ (3.94)	4.29 ↓ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
54.1%

Draw
23.8%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

24.2%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

22.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bodø Glimt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	18.5%	12.3%

Bodø Glimt - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 43 - 71.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 7 - 11.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 60.3% – 83.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 6. Gundersen J. 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. (C) 19. Fet S. 25. Maatta I. 9. Hogh K. 23. Hauge J.	1. Ilic M. (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 24. Djiga N. 5. Spajic U. (C) 23. Rodic M. 6. Hwang In-Beom 21. Elsnik T. 32. Ilic L. 4. Ivanic M. 14. Olayinka P. 9. Ndiaye C.
Substitutes
8. Auklend S. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 21. Helmersen A. 28. Kapskarmo O. 1. Lund J. (G) 94. Mikkelsen A. 2. Nielsen V. 14. Saltnes U. 30. Sorensen A. 27. Sorli S. 29. Tomic M. 77. Zinckernagel P.	17. Bruno Duarte 22. Dalcio 33. Drkusic V. 77. Gutesa I. (G) 91. Jovanovic L. 8. Kanga G. 10. Katai A. 25. Lekovic S. 27. Milson 70. Mimovic O. 7. Sljivic J. 15. Stojic N.
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Milojevic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Olayinka P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Bjortuft O. L. ⚽, Fet S. (A),
56', Rodic M. ↓, Mimovic O. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Maatta I. ⚽, Evjen H. (A),
65', Fet S. ↓, Saltnes U. ↑,
66', Maatta I. ↓, Zinckernagel P. ↑,
66', Ilic L. ↓, Milson ↑,
66', Ndiaye C. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
70', Ivanic M. 🟨,
75', 2 - 1, Mimovic O. ⚽, Hwang In-Beom (A),
77', Bjorkan F. 🟨,
85', Hogh K. ↓, Auklend S. ↑,
85', Olayinka P. ↓, Dalcio ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Bodø Glimt could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bodø Glimt is a favorite.

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Elabdellaoui O. (Injury) Skeide S. (Injury) Vetti G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Bodø Glimt: Auklend S. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Bodø Glimt to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
UEFA Champions League
13.08.24	Bodø Glimt - Jagiellonia Białystok	4:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
10.08.24	Viking Stavanger - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Bodø Glimt	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.08.24	Bodø Glimt - Haugesund	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	RFS - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWWW
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
15.08.24	Čukarički - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:4 ✺
10.08.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Novi Pazar	4:1 ✺
03.08.24	Tekstilac Odžaci - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
27.07.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Mladost Lučani	2:2 ✺
20.07.24	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Jedinstvo Ub	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWTW

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