Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)

Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Direkte Sport, VG+
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1


	Bodø Glimt		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6	Watch
	1.44	5	6.25
	1.44	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.9	6.66
	1.44	5.02	6.42	Watch
	1.4	4.6	6
	1.51	4.63	5.97	Watch
	1.44	4.75	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	4.77 ↑ (3.6)	6.29 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
65.2%

Draw
19.8%

Jagiellonia Białystok
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.6%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

22.7%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodø Glimt's performance.

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	8.6%	6.2%

Bodø Glimt - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: Bodø Glimt will win (67 of 75 users predict this - 89.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.34% – 96.32%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 6. Gundersen J. 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. (C) 19. Fet S. 25. Maatta I. 9. Hogh K. 23. Hauge J.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 16. Sacek M. 72. Skrzypczak M. 17. Dieguez A. 44. Moutinho J. 7. Marczuk D. 39. Nguiamba A. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 99. Hansen K. 11. Imaz J. 10. Pululu A.
Substitutes
44. Brondbo M. (G) 17. Burakovsky S. 11. Espejord R. 21. Helmersen A. 28. Kapskarmo O. 1. Lund J. (G) 94. Mikkelsen A. 2. Nielsen V. 14. Saltnes U. 30. Sorensen A. 27. Sorli S.	82. Costa Silva T. 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 4. Haliti J. 14. Kubicki J. 36. Lewicki J. 8. Nene 19. Olszewski P. 3. Stojinovic D. 1. Stryjek M. (G) 20. Villar Miki
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Berg P. (Own goal),
34', 1 - 1, Fet S. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Maatta I. ⚽, Hauge J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Hauge J. 🟨,
56', 3 - 1, Fet S. ⚽, Evjen H. (A),
61', Nguiamba A. ↓, Nene ↑,
68', Fet S. ↓, Saltnes U. ↑,
68', Maatta I. ↓, Sorli S. ↑,
71', 4 - 1, Hogh K. ⚽, Hauge J. (A),
72', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
74', Hogh K. ↓, Helmersen A. ↑,
74', Evjen H. ↓, Mikkelsen A. ↑,
77', Hansen K. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
80', Marczuk D. 🟨,
81', Imaz J. ↓, Costa Silva T. ↑,
81', Romanczuk T. ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
81', Bjorkan F. ↓, Sorensen A. ↑,
90', Helmersen A. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Jagiellonia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bodø Glimt have a series of guest games.

In this match Bodø Glimt is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bodø Glimt to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bodø Glimt won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
10.08.24	Viking Stavanger - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Bodø Glimt	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.08.24	Bodø Glimt - Haugesund	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	RFS - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.07.24	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWWWT
- Jagiellonia Białystok
UEFA Champions League
07.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Bodø Glimt	0:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Panevėžys	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.07.24	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Panevėžys - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
07.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Bodø Glimt	0:1

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