Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Bialystok)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Norway	Direkte Sport, VG+
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Jagiellonia Białystok		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.7	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2.35
	2.75	3.75	2.35	Watch
	2.88	3.66	2.38
	2.85	3.66	2.35	Watch
	2.7	3.7	2.2
	2.9	3.66	2.41	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3)	3.7 ↑ (3.15)	2.34 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jagiellonia Białystok
33.9%

Draw
25.6%

Bodø Glimt
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.2%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

30.3%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.5%	28.6%	46.9%

Jagiellonia Białystok - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Jagiellonia will win (votes: 11 - 25.6%). Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 18 - 41.9%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 32.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 27.2% – 56.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Abramowicz S. (G) 16. Sacek M. 72. Skrzypczak M. 17. Dieguez A. 44. Moutinho J. 7. Marczuk D. 8. Nene 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 99. Hansen K. 11. Imaz J. 10. Pululu A.	12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 6. Gundersen J. 18. Moe B. (C) 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. 14. Saltnes U. 25. Maatta I. 9. Hogh K. 23. Hauge J.
Substitutes
82. Costa Silva T. 9. Diaby-Fadiga L. 4. Haliti J. 14. Kubicki J. 77. Laski W. 36. Lewicki J. 39. Nguiamba A. 19. Olszewski P. 3. Stojinovic D. 1. Stryjek M. (G) 20. Villar Miki	4. Bjortuft O. L. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 17. Burakovsky S. 19. Fet S. 21. Helmersen A. 28. Kapskarmo O. 1. Lund J. (G) 94. Mikkelsen A. 2. Nielsen V. 30. Sorensen A. 27. Sorli S.
Coaches
Siemieniec A.	Knutsen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Saltnes U. ↓, Fet S. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Dieguez A. (Own goal), Hauge J. (A),
68', Nene 🟨,
69', Hansen K. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
71', Hogh K. ↓, Kapskarmo O. ↑,
71', Maatta I. ↓, Sorli S. ↑,
72', Nene ↓, Kubicki J. ↑,
73', Moe B. 🟨,
81', Pululu A. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
85', Moe B. ↓, Bjortuft O. L. ↑,
90+4', Moutinho J. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

During last matches two teams got success in matches and won.

Bodø Glimt will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.08.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Stal Mielec	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Panevėžys	3:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
27.07.24	Radomiak Radom - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Panevėžys - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:4 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.07.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW
- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
03.08.24	Bodø Glimt - Haugesund	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.07.24	RFS - Bodø Glimt	1:3 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
27.07.24	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Bodø Glimt	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
23.07.24	Bodø Glimt - RFS	4:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.07.24	Bodø Glimt - Odd	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTWW

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