Match Info

ENGLAND: Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 13

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Bognor Regis Town		Cheshunt

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.75	3.7
	1.72	3.85	3.9
	1.77	4.12	3.78
	1.74	4.02	3.77
	1.8	3.75	3.5
	1.72	3.82	3.9
	1.72	3.85	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.28)	3.88 ↑ (3.54)	3.78 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bognor Regis Town
52.4%

Draw
23.5%

Cheshunt
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

25.4%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

24.5%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bognor Regis Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bognor Regis Town's performance.

Cheshunt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cheshunt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bognor Regis Town than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bognor Regis Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cheshunt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bognor Regis Town - Cheshunt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Vasiliou A. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Vasiliou A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
73', 0 - 3, Gibson-Hammond A. ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 4, Vasiliou A. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 1.

Bognor Regis has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cheshunt is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bognor Regis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Bognor Regis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6:12 (average 0.9:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Bognor Regis won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Cheshunt - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.05%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bognor Regis Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
19.10.24	Bognor Regis Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:3 ✺
12.10.24	Bognor Regis Town - Canvey Island	1:2 ✺
08.10.24	Dover Athletic - Bognor Regis Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Sittingbourne - Bognor Regis Town	2:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
28.09.24	Billericay Town - Bognor Regis Town	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Cheshunt FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.10.24	Cheshunt - Canvey Island	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Cheshunt - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Whitehawk - Cheshunt	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Hastings United - Cheshunt	2:3 ✺
12.10.24	Cheshunt - Potters Bar Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.08.24	Cheshunt - Bognor Regis Town	3:2
10.02.24	Bognor Regis Town - Cheshunt	1:1
16.09.23	Cheshunt - Bognor Regis Town	3:1
12.04.22	Bognor Regis Town - Cheshunt	0:2
09.10.21	Cheshunt - Bognor Regis Town	0:1
10.10.20	Cheshunt - Bognor Regis Town	1:0
17.09.19	Bognor Regis Town - Cheshunt	1:2

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