Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 23

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Cheshunt		Chatham Town

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.6	1.72
	4.15	3.85	1.67
	4.13	4.01	1.68	Watch
	4	3.5	1.7
	4.22	3.64	1.7
	4.25	3.8	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.21)	3.73 ↑ (3.69)	1.69 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheshunt
22.1%

Draw
24.3%

Chatham Town
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

24.9%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

23.6%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cheshunt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cheshunt's form might have worsened.

Chatham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chatham Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheshunt than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chatham Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Cheshunt - Chatham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Macarthur M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', 0 - 2, Macarthur M. ⚽,
66', 0 - 3, Nelson S. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 4, Anokye-Boadi K. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Cheshunt has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chatham is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Cheshunt has had a series of away games.

Recently, Chatham has had a series of home games.

In this match, Chatham is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cheshunt won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.8:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cheshunt won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Cheshunt - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 28.64%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Chatham Town - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.44%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheshunt FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.12.25	Chichester City - Cheshunt	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Wealdstone - Cheshunt	2:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
09.12.25	Brentwood Town - Cheshunt	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Welling United - Cheshunt	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Cheshunt - Canvey Island	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTLW
- Chatham Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.12.25	Chatham Town - Potters Bar Town	3:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Chatham Town - Plymouth Parkway	3:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.25	Chatham Town - Burgess Hill Town	4:0 ✺
02.12.25	Chichester City - Chatham Town	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Chatham Town - St Albans City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
16.08.25	Chatham Town - Cheshunt	1:0
01.03.25	Chatham Town - Cheshunt	4:1
10.12.24	Cheshunt - Chatham Town	0:1
13.01.24	Chatham Town - Cheshunt	3:2
19.08.23	Cheshunt - Chatham Town	1:2

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