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Current Win Probability
Bogotá 56.3%
Draw 25%
Barranquilla 18.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.9%
21.9%
11.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
70.8%
20.7%
10.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bogotá's form might have worsened.
Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barranquilla's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bogotá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barranquilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Bogotá - Barranquilla Predictions
Users Predictions:
Bogotá will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Aguilar A. (G) 7. Aladesanmi K. 31. Asprilla C. 3. Diaz S. 19. Estupinan D. 32. Gutierrez A. 81. Mosquera Y. 2. Palacios M. 11. Sandoval Lasso H. 22. Vanegas R. 15. Velasco J.
1. Guerra Navarro S. (G) 8. Bolivar M. 15. Borja S. 3. Cassiani O. 20. Cortez J. 30. Gomez L. 36. Navia J. 21. Orozco A. 23. Oviedo P. 19. Penate C. 7. Torres D.
Substitutes
24. Gomez F. 40. Leon R. 28. Medina M. 1. Osorno J. (G) 36. Palacios J. 9. Perea S. 8. Perez J. 20. Segura N.
22. Alvarez N. 32. Chaparro J. 5. Iriarte A. 18. Lozano J. 2. Moya Y. 29. Olmos C. 10. Ortiz Javier 28. Perez E. 9. Pino M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Mosquera Y. 🟨,
33', Vanegas R. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Gomez L. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Sandoval Lasso H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Borja S. ↓, Moya Y. ↑,
56', Penate C. ↓, Lozano J. ↑,
68', Torres D. ↓, Ortiz Javier ↑,
71', Mosquera Y. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
81', Perez J. 🟨,
87', Navia J. ↓, Pino M. ↑,
87', Oviedo P. ↓, Iriarte A. ↑,
89', Estupinan D. ↓, Segura N. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Palacios M. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Bogotá (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Barranquilla has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bogotá could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Bogotá has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Bogotá for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bogotá has recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:23 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bogotá against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 13:4 goals (averaging 1.3:0.4 per game).
Colombia
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Mosquera Y. 
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