Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 14 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Tigres		Bogotá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.95	2.95
	2.25	3	3.1	Watch
	2.41	3.06	3.13
	2.3	3.13	3.14	Watch
	2.25	3	3.05
	2.28	2.91	3.1	Watch
	2.2	2.95	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.86)	3 ↓ (3.31)	3.07 ↓ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres
40%

Draw
30.4%

Bogotá
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

27.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tigres's form might have worsened.

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bogotá's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tigres, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bogotá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Tigres - Bogotá Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brid Arroyo V. M. (G) 3. Cano J. 13. Cuadros A. 15. Guzman S. 20. Ibarra C. 5. Jhon Renteria 6. Lopera J. 27. Martinez J. 11. Palacios L. 19. Rativa D. 8. Salas Y.	29. Aguilar A. (G) 7. Aladesanmi K. (C) 21. Arango J. 31. Asprilla C. 3. Diaz S. 32. Gutierrez A. 81. Mosquera Y. 36. Palacios J. 2. Palacios M. 16. Ramos Jaramillo H. 11. Sandoval Lasso H.
Substitutes
9. Aragon O. 26. Canon M. 21. Cardenas Pico S. 23. Frigerio M. 1. Lopez Larrota K. E. (G) 28. Meneses J. 7. Mosquera F. 29. Ramirez Acosta J. P. 4. Ruiz J.	19. Estupinan D. 28. Medina M. 1. Osorno J. (G) 9. Perea S. 5. Sanchez J. 20. Segura N. 22. Vanegas R. 15. Velasco J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', 🟨,
76', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 3.

Tigres is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bogotá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tigres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tigres might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Tigres will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 0.9:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tigres	11	6	3	2	13:4	9	21
12	Bogota	11	3	3	5	9:13	-4	12

Last Results with these Odds

Bogotá - the odds 4.19 are the expected chance of winning is 22.13%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres FC
Colombian Primera B
10.09.26	Orsomarso - Tigres	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Patriotas - Tigres	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Real Cartagena - Tigres	0:3 ✺
24.08.26	Tigres - Unión Magdalena	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Tigres - Envigado	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42.6 WLWWW
- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
04.09.26	Bogotá - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Atlético Cali - Bogotá	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
20.08.26	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Bogotá - Leones	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
11.03.26	Bogotá - Tigres	0:1
20.10.25	Tigres - Bogotá	1:1
06.09.25	Bogotá - Tigres	1:0
11.05.25	Bogotá - Tigres	1:2
30.03.25	Tigres - Bogotá	2:1
05.10.24	Bogotá - Tigres	3:2
05.09.24	Tigres - Bogotá	1:0

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