What is the expert prediction for Bogotá vs Barranquilla?

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Bogotá vs Barranquilla Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, May 13, 2026)

Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 4

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Bogotá		Barranquilla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.45	4.15	Watch
	1.77	3.57	4.29
	1.78	3.59	4.26	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4
	1.72	3.46	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	4.22 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
51.9%

Draw
26.4%

Barranquilla
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

26%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Bogotá will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguilar A. (G) 99. Castillo D. 6. Castro K. 18. Cuero B. 32. Gutierrez A. 28. Medina M. 13. Moreno Abadia J. C. 30. Moreno F. 9. Perea S. 33. Perez J. 5. Sanchez J.	1. Guerra Navarro S. (G) 16. Agamez M. 8. Bolivar M. 6. Caballero S. 17. Garcia Garces Y. D. 4. Herazo E. 28. Munoz J. 21. Orozco A. 10. Ortiz Javier 23. Oviedo P. 19. Penate C.
Substitutes
14. Alfonso A. 36. Canizalez S. 10. Castro B. 24. Gomez F. 16. Jefferson R. 15. Malagon J. P. 21. Montien D. 1. Osorno J. (G) 31. Reyes D.	22. Alvarez 25. Carabali Lopez M. B. 3. Cassiani O. 27. Correa F. 18. Lozano J. 14. Mosquera W. 34. Perez A. 29. Perez E. 7. Torres D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Garcia Garces Y. D. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Perea S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ortiz Javier ↓, Correa F. ↑,
48', Castro K. 🟨,
57', Caballero S. ↓, Mosquera W. ↑,
57', Munoz J. ↓, Carabali Lopez M. B. ↑,
61', Orozco A. 🟨,
65', Medina M. ↓, Alfonso A. ↑,
71', Garcia Garces Y. D. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
71', Penate C. ↓, Lozano J. ↑,
72', Perea S. ↓, Castro B. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Lozano J. ⚽,
74', Agamez M. 🟨,
83', Cuero B. ↓, Canizalez S. ↑,
83', Perez J. ↓, Reyes D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Bogotá is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bogotá won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.3:0.3).

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Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Bogota	5	2	1	2	3:4	-1	7
14	Barranquilla	4	0	2	2	4:6	-2	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Primera B
08.05.26	Barranquilla - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Bogotá - Unión Magdalena	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Real Santander - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Bogotá - Orsomarso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTWW
- Barranquilla FC
Colombian Primera B
08.05.26	Barranquilla - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Unión Magdalena - Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Barranquilla - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Real Cartagena - Barranquilla	1:3 ✺
13.04.26	Barranquilla - Envigado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
08.05.26	Barranquilla - Bogotá	2:0
16.03.26	Barranquilla - Bogotá	1:1
21.09.25	Bogotá - Barranquilla	1:0
12.04.25	Barranquilla - Bogotá	2:0
17.10.24	Barranquilla - Bogotá	4:2
05.05.24	Bogotá - Barranquilla	1:0
28.08.23	Barranquilla - Bogotá	2:0

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