The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bogotá 47.2%
Draw 28.3%
Real Santander 24.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.8%
28%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
28.1%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Real Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Santander than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Bogotá - Real Santander Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Aguilar A. (G) 7. Aladesanmi K. (C) 21. Arango J. 31. Asprilla J. 32. Gutierrez A. 2. Palacios M. 9. Perea S. 8. Perez J. 16. Ramos Jaramillo H. 11. Sandoval Lasso H. 15. Velasco J.
1. Lazaro J. (G) 6. Ariza A. (C) 29. Carrasco J. 41. Chacon Bonilla E. E. 11. Diaz M. 3. Duran C. 14. Garcia Habib J. P. 5. Holguin J. 9. Rodriguez P. 7. Rueda Juan 31. Tapia D.
Substitutes
12. Benitez B. (G) 19. Estupinan D. 24. Gomes F. 30. Moreno F. 99. Mosquera S. 36. Palacios J. 20. Segura N.
15. Ararat J. 36. Ayala J. 37. Delgado J. 8. Garcia J. 27. Guillen Sanchez J. D. 16. Hernandez J. 22. Ramos Y. (G) 24. Rangel L. 25. Segura A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Arango J. 🟥,
29', Rueda Juan ↓, Rangel L. ↑,
33', Rangel L. 🟨,
34', Carrasco J. 🟨,
43', Ariza A. 🟨,
45+1', Aladesanmi K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Aladesanmi K. ↓, Segura N. ↑,
60', Ramos Jaramillo H. 🟨,
61', Garcia Habib J. P. ↓, Ayala J. ↑,
61', Chacon Bonilla E. E. ↓, Guillen Sanchez J. D. ↑,
61', Rangel L. ↓, Segura A. ↑,
70', Ramos Jaramillo H. ↓, Estupinan D. ↑,
77', Velasco J. ↓, Moreno F. ↑,
78', Carrasco J. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
85', Perez J. 🟨,
90', 0 - 1, Delgado J. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Ariza A. (Own goal),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 12th and 6th in the Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Bogotá may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Bogotá holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Bogotá has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:31 (averaging 1.2:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bogotá against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:12 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).
Colombia
Usa
Watch
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Aguilar A. (G) 
Ramos Jaramillo H. 
Gomes F. 
